◼ Here’s a statement that won’t earn me a PhD in political science: Voter turnout will determine many races in Tuesday’s primary. We all know that truth, what we don’t know is what the turnout might be. - Joel Fox/Fox&Hounds
According to Quinn, as of May 30, 2012, the counties have reported that 1,352,000 ballots have already been cast. In 2008, there were 2,671,000 vote-by-mail ballots, so a number equal to half the vote by mail ballots in 2008 has been cast less than a week prior to voting day.
Recently, California elections are edging toward half the votes cast come from absentee ballots. Unless there is a landslide of absentee ballots this week, the absentee vote total will probably be behind 2008 levels.
All signs indicate a low turnout.
I won’t be too far out on a limb to predict that voter turnout for this primary election will be around, very possibly under, 30%.
